A global foundation deploys billions into development programmes aimed at transforming health, agriculture, and education systems worldwide. As AI and compute capabilities accelerate, the foundation is expanding investments in AI applications across these domains, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where the technology could unlock significant progress toward its core goals.

Strategic impact in this context depends on more than understanding where investments face risk. It requires identifying where systemic transitions create windows for disproportionate influence - moments when positioning, partnerships, and policy engagement can shape how AI governance and deployment frameworks take form across critical geographies.

A leading risk intelligence research centre partnered with RAKSHA to assess how orbital infrastructure, climate stress, and geopolitical fragmentation are converging to reshape space governance and investment strategy. As dependence on space-based systems increases, the research centre needed a clearer view of how cross-domain risks could cascade across critical infrastructure and policy decisions.

RAKSHA developed an anticipatory intelligence framework mapping how orbital congestion, geopolitical competition, and planetary stress interact over time. This included analysing governance pathways, stress-testing infrastructure investment decisions, and identifying where dependencies on space-based systems could create systemic vulnerabilities.

The resulting framework enabled the research centre to move beyond siloed analysis, providing decision-makers with a clearer understanding of how policy, investment, and coordination choices in one domain could trigger cascading effects across others. This strengthened the centre’s ability to advise on resilient governance strategies and long-term infrastructure planning in an increasingly contested and interconnected environment.

A national pension fund partnered with RAKSHA to strengthen its ability to manage systemic risk in an increasingly volatile global environment. With a large, globally exposed portfolio and a mandate tied to long-term financial stability and public trust, the institution needed earlier visibility into risks that sit outside traditional financial models.

RAKSHA identified that the fund was not facing isolated risks, but multiple interacting faultlines across financial systems, geopolitics, climate pressures, and social dynamics. Many of these risks were emerging outside standard reporting cycles and would only become visible once volatility or losses had already materialised.

RAKSHA designed a systemic risk architecture that mapped how these domains converge on the fund’s portfolio and operating environment. This included uncovering hidden financial interdependencies, analysing geopolitical escalation pathways, identifying infrastructure and climate fragility points, and assessing social and narrative-driven risks that could impact confidence and stability.

The resulting framework enabled leadership to shift from reactive risk management to anticipatory positioning. It provided earlier visibility into potential stress scenarios, clearer decision triggers, and a more integrated view of how systemic risks could propagate across the portfolio—supporting stronger long-term resilience and more confident strategic decision-making.